Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.017105 0.019081 0.021068 0.023211 0.025450 0.027717 0.030179
2025-03-30 0.013136 0.016167 0.019346 0.022897 0.026727 0.030710 0.035143
2025-04-06 0.010364 0.013956 0.017862 0.022353 0.027312 0.032570 0.038517
2025-04-13 0.007922 0.011771 0.016118 0.021258 0.027057 0.033309 0.040479
2025-04-20 0.006837 0.011000 0.015841 0.021682 0.028370 0.035663 0.044102
2025-04-27 0.005529 0.009807 0.014958 0.021312 0.028705 0.036859 0.046380
2025-05-04 0.004346 0.008632 0.013993 0.020761 0.028760 0.037681 0.048185
2025-05-11 0.003682 0.008059 0.013710 0.020968 0.029649 0.039407 0.050966
2025-05-18 0.002961 0.007318 0.013154 0.020802 0.030062 0.040560 0.053071
2025-05-25 0.002215 0.006430 0.012342 0.020269 0.030002 0.041137 0.054496
2025-06-01 0.001655 0.005732 0.011727 0.019939 0.030151 0.041929 0.056139
2025-06-08 0.001147 0.005011 0.011024 0.019457 0.030085 0.042445 0.057444
2025-06-15 0.000799 0.004544 0.010714 0.019561 0.030841 0.044056 0.060172
2025-06-22 0.000433 0.003893 0.010099 0.019261 0.031120 0.045137 0.062335
2025-06-29 0.000159 0.003219 0.009370 0.018759 0.031113 0.045854 0.064055
2025-07-06 0.000003 0.002418 0.008320 0.017751 0.030421 0.045717 0.064746
2025-07-13 NaN 0.002231 0.008282 0.018141 0.031498 0.047696 0.067909
2025-07-20 NaN 0.001807 0.007756 0.017801 0.031612 0.048494 0.069666
2025-07-27 NaN 0.001381 0.007144 0.017295 0.031483 0.048977 0.071032
2025-08-03 NaN 0.001208 0.007011 0.017485 0.032259 0.050559 0.073696
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000962 0.006665 0.017332 0.032566 0.051552 0.075648
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000671 0.006125 0.016843 0.032402 0.051949 0.076875
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000466 0.005721 0.016542 0.032474 0.052624 0.078425